Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?
Live
Yes
1.6 % chance
No
98.4 % chance
$251.09
13
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.6 %chance
- Yes 1.6¢ · No 98.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.6¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
21
Smart money
8
Top holders
- Ha…thNo256.7
- a…zNo66.6
- pl…erNo60
- xt…meYes362.6
- El…etNo16.7
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