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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live · starts Nov 3 12:00 UTC

Yes
5.2 % chance
No
94.8 % chance
$37.85
9

Trading opened Dec 19, 2025 02:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.2 %chance
  • Yes 5.2¢ · No 94.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

6.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.2¢
Yes price now
1.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • Re…ekNo977.7
  • 42…esYes1,847
  • qu…elNo398
  • in…thNo375.7
  • ba…arNo330.4

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Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank