US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?

Live · started Nov 7 22:40 UTC

Yes

41.5 % chance

58.5 % chance

$7.6K

Trading opened Nov 8, 2026 02:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 15, 2026 20:29 UTC

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

41.5 %chance
Yes 41.5¢ · No 58.5¢

1D · All: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

20.0¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

41.5¢

Yes price now

21.5¢

Holders paid below the current price

24h fills

118

Tagged holders

Top holders

te…seNo2,039
88…12Yes2,077
m…sYes1,753
ba…laNo504.3
Ar…lyNo400

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