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World · Global electionsIsrael

Question

Will Likud win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Live

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$0.03
2

Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 18:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 28, 2026 03:59 UTC

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place → all 39 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
1.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • qu…elNo140.9
  • Lu…ysNo131.6
  • Me…elNo36
  • m…7No20
  • ci…esNo20

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Will Likud win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank