Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place
Live
- $7.1K
- $26.5K
- 83
- $9.9K
- $98.5K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Joint List74.0%
- The Democrats21.5%
- Otzma Yehudit10.0%
- Together8.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
15 open · 24 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 74.0 %
Joint List
$2.8K traded, 24 h
Yes 74.0¢No 26.0¢ - 21.5 %
The Democrats
$800.01 traded, 24 h
Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢ - 10.0 %
Otzma Yehudit
$803.60 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢ - 8.1 %
Together
$330.65 traded, 24 h
Yes 8.1¢No 91.9¢ - 4.5 %
RZP-Zehut
$459.80 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.5 %
Shas
$655.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 1.8 %
Yisrael Beiteinu
$655.90 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢ - 1.2 %
United Torah Judaism
$485.16 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.2¢No 98.8¢ - 1.1 %
Amcha Yisrael
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢ - < 1 %
Ra'am
$157.43 traded, 24 h
Yes 0.6¢No 99.4¢
24 more that never traded
- No quote now
Other
- No quote now
Party A
- No quote now
Party B
- No quote now
Party C
- No quote now
Party D
- No quote now
Party E
- No quote now
Party F
- No quote now
Party G
- No quote now
Party H
- No quote now
Party I
- No quote now
Party J
- No quote now
Party K
- No quote now
Party L
- No quote now
Party M
- No quote now
Party N
- No quote now
Party O
- No quote now
Party P
- No quote now
Party Q
- No quote now
Party R
- No quote now
Party S
- No quote now
Party T
- No quote now
Party U
- No quote now
Party V
- No quote now
Party W
Event facts
- Category
- World · Global elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 15 open · 24 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 239
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 13,497 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This event has 39 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 28, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 23:32 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.