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World · Global electionsIsrael

Question

Will Shas win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Live

Yes
4.5 % chance
No
95.5 % chance
$655.95
22

Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 18:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 28, 2026 03:59 UTC

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place → all 39 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 4.5 %chance
  • Yes 4.5¢ · No 95.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

17.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.5¢
Yes price now
12.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
31
Smart money
18

Top holders

  • sc…edYes706.4
  • gr…19No350
  • ba…arNo291.8
  • S…0Yes532.8
  • pl…erNo268.9

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Will Shas win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank