Politics · Economy & the FedFed
Question
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
3.3 % chance
No
96.7 % chance
$3.6K
15
Trading opened Sep 17, 2026 15:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.3 %chance
- Yes 3.3¢ · No 96.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
10.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.3¢
Yes price now
6.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
10
Top holders
- Ho…meNo3,044
- sm…ieNo520.6
- Al…sVNo277.5
- qi…ngNo200
- gr…inNo212
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