Politics · Geopolitics
Question
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?
Open, no trades in the last 24 h
Yes
4.3 % chance
No
95.7 % chance
$0.00
0
Trading opened Jan 4, 2026 17:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2027 00:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.3 %chance
- Yes 4.3¢ · No 95.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
10.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.3¢
Yes price now
5.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
0
Smart money
0
Top holders
- in…thNo1,559
- Ar…lyNo1,146
- Im…enYes1,365
- do…meNo311.7
- Lu…ysNo284.4
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