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World · Global electionsIran

Question

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?

Live

Yes
98.2 % chance
No
1.8 % chance
$73.2K
182

Trading opened Oct 14, 2026 18:09 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 22, 2026 03:59 UTC

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? → all 29 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 98.2 %chance
  • Yes 98.2¢ · No 1.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

94.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
98.2¢
Yes price now
3.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
258
Smart money
71

Top holders

  • Lu…erYes94,249
  • Re…e.Yes53,525
  • Ch…neYes36,892
  • AnonymousYes16,402
  • cl…edNo52,550

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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank