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Politicshouse

Question

244 or fewer votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot?

Live

Yes
11.0 % chance
No
89.0 % chance
$1.1K
27

Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 01:02 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 4, 2027 04:59 UTC

How many votes will Hakeem Jeffries get on first ballot? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 11.0 %chance
  • Yes 11.0¢ · No 89.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

23.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
11.0¢
Yes price now
12.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
37
Smart money
22

Top holders

  • l…bNo158
  • St…erNo110
  • sd…f2Yes146
  • sm…ptNo75
  • xt…meYes116.2

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244 or fewer votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank