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Politics · Middle EastYemen

Question

Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15?

Live

Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$1.13
2

Trading opened Oct 3, 2026 15:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 03:59 UTC

Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) → all 4 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.5 %chance
  • Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

8.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
7.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • ci…esNo341
  • Go…neNo310.1
  • A…VYes899.3
  • co…enNo190.8
  • Pa…htNo83

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Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank