Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?
Live
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$202.86
10
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
0.0¢
Holders paid the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
7
Top holders
- a…zNo59
- pl…erNo30
- El…seNo22.9
- Al…otNo16.7
- ba…hrYes121.5
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