Politics · Middle EastGeopolitics
Question
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
33.0 % chance
No
67.0 % chance
$10.5K
4
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 14:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 33.0 %chance
- Yes 33.0¢ · No 67.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
29.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
33.0¢
Yes price now
3.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
0
Top holders
- yi…wuYes18,100
- ti…19No11,900
- ti…unNo10,000
- ne…lyNo9,500
- g…iYes13,300
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