Weather · ClimateClimate & Sciencemeasles
Question
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Live
Yes
84.5 % chance
No
15.5 % chance
$801.15
19
Trading opened Sep 27, 2026 03:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 84.5 %chance
- Yes 84.5¢ · No 15.5¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
56.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
84.5¢
Yes price now
27.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
33
Smart money
17
Top holders
- Un…onYes2,497
- f…nNo2,231
- No…41Yes550
- ma…ssYes529.5
- Lo…23Yes352.4
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…