Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Live
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$209.01
13
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
9
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo38.1
- pl…erNo30
- a…zNo21.7
- Ta…ssNo16.7
- Wh…ceNo16.7
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