Politics · Global electionsFrench Election
Question
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Live · starts Apr 18 12:00 UTC
Yes
14.5 % chance
No
85.5 % chance
$60.3K
44
Trading opened Nov 13, 2025 23:09 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 19, 2027 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 14.5 %chance
- Yes 14.5¢ · No 85.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
11.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
14.5¢
Yes price now
2.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
51
Smart money
17
Top holders
- Ll…00Yes458,599
- la…inNo108,368
- Pa…yBYes164,552
- Lu…nbYes88,425
- Ba…meYes67,179
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