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Politics · Global electionsFrench Election

Next French Presidential Election

Live

Open on Polymarket
$110.4K
$70.69M
254
$2.83M
$17.08M

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • Marine Le Pen41.3%
  • Édouard Philippe21.5%
  • David Lisnard12.8%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

42 open · 86 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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86 more that never traded

Event facts

Category
Politics · Global elections
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
Resolution terms
Varies by question
Questions
42 open · 86 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
1,585
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
891,588 shares
  1. Created
  3. First trade
  4. Event start

Who is trading this event

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The largest holders of each question with a free account; the ranked active traders and tagged-wallet flow with the full metrics.

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

This event has 128 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Apr 19, 2027 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 9, 2026 04:09 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.