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Politics · Global electionsFrench Election

Question

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Live · starts Apr 1 17:00 UTC

Yes
41.3 % chance
No
58.7 % chance
$24.8K
45

Trading opened Nov 13, 2025 23:09 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 19, 2027 03:59 UTC

Next French Presidential Election → all 128 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 41.3 %chance
  • Yes 41.3¢ · No 58.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

29.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
41.3¢
Yes price now
11.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
128
Smart money
17

Top holders

  • Re…ngNo496,150
  • Ll…00No367,789
  • Bu…edYes347,426
  • D…2Yes100,000
  • St…eyYes94,542

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Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank