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Politics · Global electionsFrench Election

Question

Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?

Live · starts Apr 1 17:00 UTC

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$1.40
2

Trading opened Nov 13, 2025 23:09 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 19, 2027 03:59 UTC

Next French Presidential Election → all 128 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
0.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
0

Top holders

  • mi…03Yes318,575
  • in…thNo10,059
  • al…tyYes56,299
  • Ju…zyYes36,876
  • Ed…isNo1,801

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Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank