PoliticsMerz Out
Question
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
3.7 % chance
No
96.3 % chance
$6.9K
28
Trading opened Nov 5, 2025 19:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...? → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.7 %chance
- Yes 3.7¢ · No 96.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
17.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.7¢
Yes price now
13.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
39
Smart money
14
Top holders
- a…3No281,050
- Go…IaNo266,056
- th…drNo56,739
- ne…23Yes67,527
- fl…ceYes58,900
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