Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
Live
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$190.40
9
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
0.0¢
Holders paid the current price
24h fills
12
Smart money
6
Top holders
- a…zNo40
- pl…erNo30
- So…edNo22.9
- Sp…inNo16.7
- ba…hrYes79.3
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