PoliticsMerz Out
Question
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?
Live
Yes
25.0 % chance
No
75.0 % chance
$1.1K
13
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 13:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...? → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 25.0 %chance
- Yes 25.0¢ · No 75.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
32.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
25.0¢
Yes price now
7.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
12
Top holders
- Fi…owNo753.1
- ne…23Yes1,086
- mo…ilNo756.6
- 18…utNo411
- xt…meYes415.5
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