Politics · US electionsUnited States
Question
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live · starts Nov 7 12:00 UTC
Yes
48.4 % chance
No
51.6 % chance
$1.7K
19
Trading opened Jul 11, 2025 19:41 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2028 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 48.4 %chance
- Yes 48.4¢ · No 51.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
47.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
48.4¢
Yes price now
1.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
29
Smart money
9
Top holders
- D…xNo800,000
- D…xYes800,000
- po…eeNo510,000
- po…eeYes510,000
- No…acNo500,000
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