World · Global elections
Question
Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Open, no trades in the last 24 h
Yes
4.5 % chance
No
95.5 % chance
$0.00
0
Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 14:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Mar 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.5 %chance
- Yes 4.5¢ · No 95.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.5¢
Yes price now
3.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
0
Smart money
0
Top holders
- Vi…axNo50
- Lu…ysNo11.4
- A…VYes80.8
- yo…erYes85.5
- P…TYes40
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