Politics · Global elections
Question
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Live · started Oct 4 12:00 UTC
Yes
86.9 % chance
No
13.1 % chance
$429.9K
298
Trading opened Sep 18, 2025 20:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 5, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 86.9 %chance
- Yes 86.9¢ · No 13.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
51.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
86.9¢
Yes price now
35.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
562
Smart money
124
Top holders
- ti…erNo674,377
- Re…e.Yes549,632
- Jj…60Yes378,440
- Su…alYes436,502
- Ab…aeNo271,234
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