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Politics · Global elections

Question

Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Live · starts 12:34 UTC

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$749.48
22

Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:55 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

13.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
13.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
29
Smart money
19

Top holders

  • Sn…erNo2,162
  • Ho…erYes1,736
  • Lu…ysNo268.6
  • xi…ngYes350
  • Ha…erNo133.6

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Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank