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Weather · ClimateTemperature Increase

Question

Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in September 2026?

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$723.91
8

Trading opened Aug 31, 2026 13:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 2, 2026 04:59 UTC

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

10.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
10.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
6

Top holders

  • no…paNo529.9
  • Ju…reNo89.9
  • lu…otNo76.1
  • Co…onNo54.7
  • A…VYes120.8

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Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in September 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank