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Weather · Earthquakes6.5 Earthquake Weekly

Question

Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Live

Yes
19.3 % chance
No
80.7 % chance
$3.0K
45

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 13:40 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 23:59 UTC

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 19.3 %chance
  • Yes 19.3¢ · No 80.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

28.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
19.3¢
Yes price now
8.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
101
Smart money
27

Top holders

  • Br…86No400
  • Ye…rrNo300.3
  • Vi…erNo450.5
  • GA…BDYes466.1
  • Op…ntNo196

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Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank