World · Middle EastIsrael
Question
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Live
Yes
11.5 % chance
No
88.5 % chance
$6.6K
27
Trading opened Mar 18, 2026 18:55 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...? → all 5 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 11.5 %chance
- Yes 11.5¢ · No 88.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
27.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
11.5¢
Yes price now
15.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
31
Smart money
25
Top holders
- pn…24No3,026
- M…PNo2,800
- ju…03No1,166
- Ch…rtNo877.1
- ka…otNo784
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