Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopolitics
Question
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
62.5 % chance
No
37.5 % chance
$5.40
2
Trading opened Oct 3, 2026 14:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...? → all 5 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 62.5 %chance
- Yes 62.5¢ · No 37.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
61.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
62.5¢
Yes price now
0.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1
Top holders
- Ni…roYes3,276
- an…ckNo3,287
- J…YYes426.2
- B…zNo337.5
- A…VNo346.2
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