Pop Culture · AwardsSoccer
Question
Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live
Yes
13.5 % chance
No
86.5 % chance
$334.90
10
Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 19:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 13.5 %chance
- Yes 13.5¢ · No 86.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
8.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
13.5¢
Yes price now
5.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
8
Top holders
- Vi…axNo383.9
- ni…q3No313
- Zi…ooYes605.6
- gr…19No150
- Bi…ggNo150
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