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Finance · InflationEconomy10-year Treasur

Question

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

Live

Yes
9.6 % chance
No
90.4 % chance
$875.11
16

Trading opened Nov 12, 2025 22:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? → all 14 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 9.6 %chance
  • Yes 9.6¢ · No 90.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

29.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
9.6¢
Yes price now
19.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
20
Smart money
12

Top holders

  • Ar…lyNo22,537
  • Re…onYes9,140
  • Ad…asNo2,349
  • k7…W4Yes3,000
  • He…isNo1,270

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank