How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Live
- $19.2K
- $530.7K
- 42
- $126.7K
- $61.5K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 5.3%39.5%
- 5.4%23.5%
- 5.5%9.6%
- 5.7%5.2%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
5 open · 9 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Inflation
- Series
- 10-year Treasur · weekly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 5 open · 9 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 73
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 22,900 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This event has 14 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
9 of the 14 have settled; 4.3%, 4.4%, 4.5%, 4.6%, 4.8%, 5.0%, 5.1%, 5.2%, 5.3% settled Yes.
It can settle from Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 24, 2026 10:58 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.