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Finance · InflationEconomy10-year Treasur

Question

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?

Live

Yes
23.5 % chance
No
76.5 % chance
$4.4K
13

Trading opened Sep 23, 2026 20:27 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? → all 14 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 23.5 %chance
  • Yes 23.5¢ · No 76.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

52.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
23.5¢
Yes price now
29.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • Th…ulNo5,000
  • Le…04Yes2,432
  • r…pNo2,533
  • k7…W4No2,076
  • da…45Yes1,240

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank