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Finance · InflationEconomy10-year Treasur

Question

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?

Live

Yes
3.4 % chance
No
96.6 % chance
$8.9K
12

Trading opened Nov 12, 2025 22:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? → all 14 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.4 %chance
  • Yes 3.4¢ · No 96.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

6.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.4¢
Yes price now
3.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
14
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • Th…ulNo9,000
  • AnonymousNo5,407
  • XA…elNo2,773
  • bi…ckYes9,456
  • Bi…stNo1,630

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank