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Finance · InflationEconomy10-year Treasur

Question

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?

Live

Yes
39.5 % chance
No
60.5 % chance
$129.60
6

Trading opened Oct 23, 2026 00:17 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? → all 14 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 39.5 %chance
  • Yes 39.5¢ · No 60.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

43.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
39.5¢
Yes price now
3.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
4

Top holders

  • gg…taNo90
  • ma…asYes50
  • A…VYes20
  • Ve…tsYes14.5
  • Gu…erYes10

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank