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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will the Louisiana 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

Live · started Jun 26 20:04 UTC

Yes
86.5 % chance
No
13.5 % chance
$245.37
4

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 14:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Which Senate races will be within 5%? → all 20 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 86.5 %chance
  • Yes 86.5¢ · No 13.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

52.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
86.5¢
Yes price now
34.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
3

Top holders

  • sc…oiYes202.6
  • xt…meNo117.7
  • Ho…s7Yes46.3
  • AnonymousYes22.7
  • p…rNo20

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Will the Louisiana 2026 Senate race be within 5%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank