Politics · Middle EastOilAvg. Bab el-Mandeb Strait
Question
Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
Live
Yes
0.2 % chance
No
99.8 % chance
$2.0K
18
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:02 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October? → all 5 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.2 %chance
- Yes 0.2¢ · No 99.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
3.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.2¢
Yes price now
3.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
19
Smart money
17
Top holders
- Ma…onNo1,696
- Sh…teYes666.8
- br…neNo118.3
- do…meNo78.8
- Vi…axNo62
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