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Politics · Middle EastOilHormuz shipping targeted

Question

Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 5, 2026?

Live

Yes
94.7 % chance
No
5.3 % chance
$101.64
9

Trading opened Sep 30, 2026 23:58 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 6, 2026 03:59 UTC

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...? → all 31 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 94.7 %chance
  • Yes 94.7¢ · No 5.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

68.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
94.7¢
Yes price now
25.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
6

Top holders

  • li…96Yes62.6
  • Ar…daYes30.2
  • A…VNo58
  • Jo…erYes21
  • Yi…erYes20.6

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Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 5, 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank