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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live · starts Nov 3 12:00 UTC

Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$6.01
3

Trading opened Dec 19, 2025 02:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.3 %chance
  • Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
2.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
2

Top holders

  • in…thNo374.9
  • sm…ptNo325
  • wi…34Yes1,356
  • Lu…ysNo156.9
  • ba…arNo116.5

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Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank