Politics · GeopoliticsStarmerNext leader out
Question
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
Live
Yes
1.3 % chance
No
98.7 % chance
$1.1K
17
Trading opened Jul 1, 2026 02:18 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.3 %chance
- Yes 1.3¢ · No 98.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
4.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.3¢
Yes price now
3.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
37
Smart money
16
Top holders
- Bi…ggNo1,704
- do…meNo1,392
- Vi…axNo851.3
- Ho…ssNo843.4
- gr…19No575
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