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World · Global electionsIran

Question

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?

Live

Yes
97.9 % chance
No
2.1 % chance
$103.3K
188

Trading opened Oct 14, 2026 18:09 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 19, 2026 03:59 UTC

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? → all 29 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 97.9 %chance
  • Yes 97.9¢ · No 2.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

94.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
97.9¢
Yes price now
3.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
308
Smart money
75

Top holders

  • Ro…seYes40,940
  • Lu…erYes28,016
  • M…PYes20,376
  • Ca…ipYes20,055
  • Re…e.Yes17,473

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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank