Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Live
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$374.28
12
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
7
Top holders
- pl…erNo60
- a…zNo40
- Ne…arNo22.9
- Fr…seNo16.7
- xt…meYes70
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