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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

Live · started Jun 26 20:04 UTC

Yes
99.4 % chance
No
0.6 % chance
$781.73
19

Trading opened Jul 29, 2026 18:41 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Which Senate races will be within 5%? → all 20 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 99.4 %chance
  • Yes 99.4¢ · No 0.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

69.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
99.4¢
Yes price now
29.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
31
Smart money
14

Top holders

  • sc…oiYes1,117
  • 50…esYes772.3
  • qq…ccNo1,321
  • Sn…erYes746
  • be…inYes499.8

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Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank