Pop Culture · Awardsnobel
Question
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
Live
Yes
22.0 % chance
No
78.0 % chance
$3.7K
30
Trading opened Oct 6, 2026 09:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 13, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 22.0 %chance
- Yes 22.0¢ · No 78.0¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
Yes price now 22.0¢ · holder entry warming up.
24h fills
51
Smart money
22
Top holders
- Mi…KyNo2,313
- Ha…thYes947.4
- sd…f2Yes237
- bu…isYes249.6
- li…erYes228.8
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…