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Weather · Earthquakes5.5 Earthquake

Question

Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Live

Yes
5.5 % chance
No
94.5 % chance
$815.69
14

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 13:40 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 23:59 UTC

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.5 %chance
  • Yes 5.5¢ · No 94.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

17.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.5¢
Yes price now
11.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
8

Top holders

  • Ye…rrNo305.4
  • gi…ksNo229.9
  • Ki…ngNo201.9
  • Op…ntYes440
  • He…meNo82.8

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Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank