Politics · Middle EastOil
Question
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?
Live
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$1.46
2
Trading opened Jul 8, 2026 19:09 UTC · Eligible for resolution Feb 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
6.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
6.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1
Top holders
- 88…12No1,531
- Re…ekYes3,965
- Vi…axNo930
- Ho…ssNo576.8
- do…meNo482
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