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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live · starts Nov 3 12:00 UTC

Yes
1.1 % chance
No
98.9 % chance
$6.15
4

Trading opened Dec 19, 2025 02:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.1 %chance
  • Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
2.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
3
Smart money
3

Top holders

  • cr…h2No791
  • Re…ekNo500
  • in…thNo374.9
  • gr…19No312
  • ba…arNo296.2

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Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank