Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
Live
Yes
2.0 % chance
No
98.0 % chance
$761.12
18
Trading opened Sep 22, 2026 18:24 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 4, 2026 23:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.0 %chance
- Yes 2.0¢ · No 98.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.0¢
Yes price now
3.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
30
Smart money
16
Top holders
- ra…woYes939.2
- Fa…anNo187.5
- mi…ktNo130
- Pr…onNo100.7
- Sh…teYes305.7
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