Politics · Middle EastGeopolitics
Question
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2027?
Open, no trades in the last 24 h
Yes
20.5 % chance
No
79.5 % chance
$0.00
0
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 14:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 20.5 %chance
- Yes 20.5¢ · No 79.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
22.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
20.5¢
Yes price now
1.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
0
Smart money
0
Top holders
- Fi…owNo110.2
- th…atNo82.4
- ba…34No90
- A…VYes133.2
- ed…99Yes48.6
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